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Joby Aviation Delays eVTOL Commercial Services until 2025

Quelle sur­prise!

Joby Avi­a­tion has announced in a share­hold­er high­lights let­ter this week, which also cov­ers the Q3 finan­cial results, that its pro­posed full cer­ti­fi­ca­tion and start of com­mer­cial ser­vices in 2024 has been put off a year to 2025.

The com­pa­ny says, “…regard­ing the devel­op­ment and per­for­mance of our air­craft, the growth of our man­u­fac­tur­ing capa­bil­i­ties, our reg­u­la­to­ry out­look, progress and tim­ing, includ­ing our expec­ta­tion to start com­mer­cial pas­sen­ger ser­vice in 2025, the expect­ed tim­ing of type cer­ti­fi­ca­tion and our plan to begin ini­tial ser­vice oper­a­tions with the Depart­ment of Defense in 2024…”

Amidst all those ‘for­ward look­ing state­ments’, what JOBY is try­ing to say is, “Sor­ry folks, we won’t be oper­at­ing com­mer­cial­ly until 2025.” Whether the oper­a­tions with the Depart­ment of Defence in 2024 is a pri­ma­ry rea­son, is not clear.

This comes as a dis­ap­point­ment to the eVTOL Indus­try, where much empha­sis is being placed on the Paris Olympic Games in July/August 2024, to kick­start the mar­ket. Com­pa­nies like Joby, Volo­copter and EHang are being moot­ed as the eVTOL pio­neers of the Games with hopes that not only will there be demon­stra­tions, but actu­al com­mer­cial ser­vices for both the pub­lic and Olympians. Now there are only two poten­tial can­di­dates.

Even then, EHang is floun­der­ing, at present, after a series of promis­es this year that it will gain full cer­ti­fi­ca­tion from the CAAC by the end of 2022. Up to now, noth­ing has mate­ri­alised.

The JOBY news led Ser­gio Cecut­ta of SMG Con­sult­ing to tweet this morn­ing, “@volocopter is our only hope for 2024 air taxi ser­vices out­side Chi­na.” Yet, in a recent AAM Real­i­ty Index chart, Cecut­ta states the Beta Tech­nolo­gies ALIA eVTOL could be ful­ly cer­ti­fied in 2024.

Cer­tain­ly, this paves the way for Volo­copter to become a star of the Olympics, “IF” it gains full cer­ti­fi­ca­tion from EASA in time. Log­ic sug­gests this should be a shoo-in giv­en Paris wants a Euro­pean eVTOL com­pa­ny to bran­dish the EU flag.

Mean­while, those finan­cial results and high­lights.

After that calami­tous Bleek­er Street Research Report a few weeks back, sooth­ing investors’ con­cerns must become an ongo­ing prac­tice, espe­cial­ly when you tell them your com­mer­cial busi­ness and the pri­ma­ry rea­son to invest has been delayed a year.

High­lights

: Delta Part­ner­ship: We announced a mul­ti-year, mul­ti-mar­ket com­mer­cial and oper­a­tional part­ner­ship with Delta Air Lines, the world’s lead­ing air­line. Delta also made an upfront equi­ty invest­ment of $60 mil­lion in Joby, with the oppor­tu­ni­ty to expand their total invest­ment to $200 mil­lion.

: Cer­ti­fi­ca­tion Progress: Accep­tance of our Means of Com­pli­ance rose from 74% to 84% and our first equip­ment-lev­el qual­i­fi­ca­tion plan was accept­ed by the FAA for the Flight Con­trol Com­put­er. We remain con­fi­dent in our abil­i­ty to sub­stan­tial­ly com­plete Stage 2 of the type cer­ti­fi­ca­tion process by the end of 2022.

: Japan Cer­ti­fi­ca­tion: We became the first eVTOL com­pa­ny to apply for val­i­da­tion of an FAA type cer­tifi­cate by the Japan Civ­il Avi­a­tion Bureau (JCAB), sup­port­ing the planned launch of our ser­vice in Japan.

: Field Trip: We wel­comed ana­lysts, investors, and oth­er key stake­hold­ers to our pilot man­u­fac­tur­ing facil­i­ties in Mari­na, CA, where we demon­strat­ed the progress we are mak­ing on the build of our pro­duc­tion pro­to­type air­craft, and par­tic­i­pants saw – and heard – a live flight test. 

Strong Finan­cial Foun­da­tion

At the end of the third quar­ter of 2022, we had $1.1 bil­lion in cash and short-term invest­ments to sup­port oper­a­tions. Net cash used in oper­at­ing activ­i­ties and pur­chas­es of prop­er­ty and equip­ment totaled $207 mil­lion in the first nine months of 2022, with $74 mil­lion spent in the third quar­ter. 

Net Loss

Our net loss of $79.2 mil­lion includ­ed total oper­at­ing expens­es of $97.1 mil­lion, reflect­ing con­tin­ued progress in cer­ti­fy­ing the air­craft and ear­ly man­u­fac­tur­ing oper­a­tions. Oper­at­ing expens­es also includ­ed stock-based com­pen­sa­tion expens­es of $13.0 mil­lion. Oth­er expens­es includ­ed a favor­able reval­u­a­tion of deriv­a­tive lia­bil­i­ties worth $12.6 mil­lion. 

Full Let­ter:

https://joby-site.cdn.prismic.io/joby-site/054b5ec4-749d-459c-a4aa-667be3be368a_Joby+-+Q3_2022-+Shareholder+Letter.pdf

eVTOL Insights is part of the Industry Insights Group. Registered in the UK. Company No: 14395769