Q&A: Sergio Cecutta goes through SMG Consulting’s AAM Reality Index and its biggest update to-date
SMG Consulting has released the biggest update of its AAM Reality Index to-date, with the addition of two new eVTOL aircraft developers and an infographic showing the current funding received by OEMs.
The rating tool describes the likelihood of an eVTOL aircraft developer certifying its aircraft, entering service and producing thousands of units each year.
Joining the expanding list this time are Overair — the spin-off from Karem Aircraft which is working with Hanwha Systems to develop its Butterfly eVTOL — and Jaunt Air Mobility. The pair join 16 other companies building their own aircraft, after Dufour Aerospace and Archer made the list back in February.
Three ratings have also been updated, with Volocopter and Beta Technologies increasing their rank to 7.3 and 7.8 respectively due to funding, certification progress and production readiness, while Bell has decreased to 3.4.
We caught up with Sergio Cecutta, Partner of SMG Consulting, who told us more about this latest reality index and the new additions.
Q: This is the biggest update to the AAM Reality Index to-date. Can you tell us what is new this time?
Sergio Cecutta: “The update this month includes three updates to the different OEMs and the inclusion of two new ones. We also have updates to some first flight and entry into service dates and last but not least, we’ve also created two new infographics for the website. One is the funding for the industry and the second is a little bit of history of the index, so one can at a glance see how companies have been moving until now.”
Q: Jaunt Air Mobility and Overair are the latest eVTOL OEMs to join the list. What were the reasons why they were chosen?
SC: “Overair and Jaunt were both part of the original Uber Elevate number of companies. Both of them are doing great work and have signed partnerships; Overair is working with Hanwha Systems in Korea and Jaunt has created a lot of partnerships across the ecosystem. We felt these were two important companies which were missing from the index, and needed to gather enough information so we could add them.”
Q: “The index has undergone a lot of updates since we last spoke. Have you received any further feedback now that the index is providing more information about the industry?
SC: “We continue to get a lot of good feedback. I think people inside the industry have been looking for a way to quickly compare all the companies, and those outside the of industry, even students, are interested in the index as they are looking at this market and want to enter it.
“They think this is a great resource because at a quick glance, they can get a good understanding of the OEM side of the industry. As we always say, the strength of the index is its simplicity as we made the targeted choice to put together a ranking that is simple and easy to compare between different companies.”
Q: As well as the two new eVTOL OEMs, there are also some new ratings for Bell, Beta Technologies and Volocopter. Can you tell us more?
SC: Yes, you’re correct and those are the three big changes. We’ve seen the CEO of Bell take a ‘wait-and-see’ approach to the market, so its effort is very very low level. Beta, we know about the additional funding and its military airworthiness announcement, and Volocopter introduced the VoloConnect as well as going into more detail about their certification process and production plans. So that allowed us to update its position as well.”
Q: It’s great to see the efforts put in by the AAM Reality Index. Did you want to share your thoughts on the market so far, given the recent announcements from Vertical Aerospace and Archer?
SC: “Yes and in fact, over the next couple of days we will have an update to the AAM funding to take into account Vertical’s recent SPAC merger. It is not going to be updated at the same time as the index for the simple reason that there is a lot of news when it comes to funding. We have already taken into account what happens when Joby Aviation, Lilium and Archer’s SPAC deals close; we’re in the process of adding Vertical, and we’ll then see what happens with the news from Eve or any other SPACs being worked on.”
Q: Why is an index like this important for the industry?
SC: “We see we see the index as being important for three reasons. First is the fact that it allow most people both in and out of the industry to focus on the companies which are putting in the majority of the work, attracting the majority of the investment and majority of interest.
“The second point is that it becomes a way for companies to measure each other. In as far as you know their progress and how they’re doing. And last but not least, it gives us the holistic view of the entire industry that is very data driven. So we can just look at the industry in a very detached way and without any feeling. E.g. you know this company is better than the other, but it’s just based on numbers.”
Q: It’s been a more than six months since the index was launched. Has it exceeded expectations from your point of view?
SC: “We were hoping it’s a little bit like a child; hoping it would be within reach of its full potential. We’re very happy with the reception of the industry. The goal, as you’ve seen with these updates is not to rest on our laurels. We take the feedback very much into account; whether it’s positive or negative, it’s great to know what the public thinks. That’s why you’ve now seen the funding coming in and we have other ideas that we want to track in the index.
“We talked about other pieces of the ecosystem, like operators, infrastructure and MRO. But we’re not tracking because I think there’s still a level of development that is not comparable with the eVTOL aircraft. But within a certain point, it’s going to be an important part. And I think this is one of the strengths. As the industry continues to evolve at a fast pace, we want to make sure the index continues to evolve at the same pace and continue to provide benefits to the industry.”
Q: Anything else you’d like to add, Sergio?
“I think the financial parts have been really interesting. The issue with the financial piece is that everyone accounts for funding in a slightly different way. So we put a lot of effort to make sure all the numbers are correct, especially it comes to the SPAC deals — considering there are many different pieces that go into them.
“We’re happy the industry is getting a significant amount of coverage. And I think what we’re also happy about is the interest for this part of aerospace is now comparable, if not higher than classic aerospace. It’s getting into the vernacular of everyday conversation and into the press that people outside of the sector read. And I think that is important when it comes to acceptance of the vehicles in the ecosystem.”

